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Inflation rise to 33.2% in March 2024

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By Abraham Adekunle

An in-depth analysis of Nigeria's rise in the price of commodities.

The latest data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reveals a sharp rise in Nigeria’s inflation rate, reaching 33.2% for the month of March 2024. This significant increase, up from 31.7% in February 2024, underscores the persistent challenges faced by the country’s economy. However, the rate of increase in March was slightly slower compared to the previous month, which saw a 1.80% surge. Inflationary pressures in March were primarily driven by escalating costs in food and beverages, compounded by rising energy and housing expenses.

These factors have contributed to the ongoing strain on consumers and businesses alike, highlighting the urgent need for effective economic management and policy interventions. A deeper look into the inflation data reveals alarming trends across various sectors. The food inflation rate surged to 40.01% year-on-year in March 2024, marking a substantial increase of 15.56 percentage points from the same period in 2023. This surge can be attributed to soaring prices of essential food items such as garri, millet, akpu (uncooked fermented), yam tubers, and water yam, among others. These price hikes, particularly in the Bread and Cereals category, have significantly impacted consumers’ purchasing power.

Some inflationary dynamics regarding food and core inflation.

On a month-on-month basis, food inflation moderated slightly to 3.62% in March 2024, reflecting a marginal decline from February 2024. However, the twelve-month average food inflation rate stood at a staggering 31.40%, highlighting the sustained pressure on food prices over an extended period. Urban inflation reached 35.18% year-on-year in March 2024, representing a notable increase from the previous year. Similarly, rural inflation rose to 31.45%, indicating significant cost escalations across both urban and rural areas.

Of course, these inflationary dynamics show the widespread impact of price increases on a diverse range of goods and services, affecting populations across different socioeconomic segments. Core inflation, excluding volatile agricultural products and energy prices, surged to 25.90% in March 2024 on a year-on-year basis. This sharp increase, up from 19.63% in March 2023, highlights the broad-based nature of inflationary pressures beyond food and energy sectors. Month-on-month core inflation also accelerated, reaching 2.54% in March 2024, reflecting sustained inflationary momentum.

Challenges for households, businesses and the economy.

Next, the average annual inflation rate over the twelve months ending in March 2024 stood at 22.26%, significantly higher than the previous period. These trends underscore the challenges faced by policymakers in managing inflationary pressures while balancing economic stability and growth objectives. Also, the soaring inflation rate poses significant challenges for households, businesses, and the overall economic sector in the country. It erodes purchasing power, reduces real incomes, and complicates monetary policy decisions. The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) faces a delicate balancing act in managing inflation expectations while supporting economic recovery and mitigating adverse impacts on vulnerable populations.

Policy responses must prioritize measures to address supply chain disruptions, enhance agricultural productivity, and promote price stability. Additionally, efforts to improve infrastructure, streamline regulatory processes, and foster a conducive business environment are crucial for long-term inflation management and sustainable economic growth. Nigeria’s inflationary challenges require coordinated and comprehensive strategies to address underlying structural issues and restore macroeconomic stability. Timely interventions, informed by robust data analysis and stakeholder collaboration, are essential to navigating the complexities of inflation dynamics and fostering a resilient and inclusive economy.

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In all, Nigeria’s inflation surge to 33.2% in March 2024 reveals deep economic challenges that demand urgent and strategic interventions. The sharp increases in food, urban, rural, and core inflation rates underscore the widespread impact of rising prices on households and businesses across the country. Addressing these inflationary pressures requires a multi-pronged approach that combines targeted policy measures, supply chain enhancements, investment in key sectors like agriculture and infrastructure, and a commitment to fiscal discipline. The Central Bank of Nigeria’s role in managing inflation expectations while promoting economic recovery remains critical, emphasizing the need for coordinated efforts between government agencies, regulatory bodies, and private stakeholders to achieve sustainable inflation management and foster long-term economic resilience.


Related Link

National Bureau of Statistics: Website


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