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Shell’s Divestment Might Affect Investment

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By Mercy Kelani

Delays in approvals are detrimental to efforts to attract foreign investment.

Recently, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) declared that four out of five pending oil and gas divestitures have received regulatory approval. It also initiated a plan to increase oil production by another million barrels per day. But the initiative’s lack of ambition in terms of production and timing was criticised by the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources. One transaction took over three years to approve, which has sparked concerns about the lengthy review procedure. Additionally, after a protracted tender procedure, the NUPRC refused to approve the Shell/Renaissance deal.

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Given that the Nigerian government is aggressively pursuing international Investors in an effort to revive the oil industry, this sparked additional worries over the regulatory body’s competence and openness. Delays in approvals are perceived as detrimental to the government’s efforts to attract more foreign investment. Since the COVID-19 outbreak, the nation’s oil output has decreased from its 2010 peak, and its economic recovery has been sluggish. Nigeria has also seen a sharp decline in foreign investment, with just 5% of Africa’s $70 billion in investments flowing there between 2015 and 2020.

Nigeria’s economy is beset by a number of issues.

With the involvement of seasoned indigenous businesses, the Shell/Renaissance transaction is viewed as a vital chance for Nigeria to increase output. Beyond oil, Nigeria’s Economy is beset by a number of issues, such as rising food insecurity, high inflation, and a weak currency. Both the oil industry and international corporations doing business in the nation have been impacted by the more general regulatory environment, which is marked by delays and a lack of transparency. Issues in the oil and gas sector have been further brought to light by recent confrontations between Nigerian regulators and the Dangote Refinery.

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For Nigeria’s economy to survive and investor confidence to be restored, immediate reforms are required. The complicated problems pertaining to Nigerian oil and gas assets, especially those involving labour, environmental performance, and community relations, are the cause of the delays in divestment approvals, according to the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC). In defence of its procedure, NUPRC has stated that careful screening is necessary due to the intricacies of the Nigerian oil environment in order to prevent long-term problems like labour strikes or community unrest, which have historically interfered with oil production.

NUPRC ensures that new operators can manage valuable assets.

Unresolved issues, for example, frequently result in sabotage and Oil Theft in the Niger Delta, costing Nigeria some 400,000 barrels of production every day. Aside from enabling business, the NUPRC’s role also includes making sure that new operators are completely equipped to manage these valuable assets appropriately, taking into account both financial and environmental factors. Furthermore, rather than just expediting permits at the expense of sustainability, the regulator may contend that guaranteeing transparency and due diligence is crucial to preserving public confidence and preserving long-term stability in the sector.

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More over, delays in Nigerian oil transaction approval have serious long-term repercussions. To begin with, they erode investor trust. The sale of Nigerian assets is becoming more common as major multinational oil firms (IOCs), including as Shell and ExxonMobil, choose nations with more transparent and effective regulatory frameworks. This trend has the potential to cause Nigeria’s oil industry to experience a significant capital constraint in the future, which would impact Infrastructure expansion, production, and exploration. Second, the economy of Nigeria, which depends on oil for around 90% of its foreign exchange earnings, is under increasing strain since new investments and Technology cannot be implemented as quickly due to delayed clearances.

Related Article: Refuse Shell’s Oil Divestment Plan — Activist

Production growth is hampered by this delay, which is essential to halting Nigeria’s post-pandemic economic decline. Nigeria’s oil production declined from 2.6 million barrels per day in 2010 to about 1.1 million barrels per day in 2023. This drop is made worse by delayed approvals, which jeopardise the nation’s economic recovery. The NUPRC should create clear approval timelines, digitise the regulatory framework, provide fiscal incentives, boost institutional capacity, improve cooperation with IOCs and local firms, and guarantee transparency and communication in order to improve Nigeria’s regulatory process and draw in foreign investment.

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