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Opposition split on Tinubu’s New Year message

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By Samuel Abimbola

Tinubu pledges hope and commitment to delivering democracy's dividends.

The New Year message delivered by President Bola Tinubu has drawn out varied reactions from the leadership of Nigeria’s Labour Party (LP) and African Democratic Congress (ADC), underscoring a sharp division in perspectives over the administration’s promises and approach to addressing the country’s economic challenges. The nationwide broadcast, which called for patience and resilience from Nigerians while appealing for unity beyond political, ethnic, and religious divides, has raised debate within the opposition regarding its implications for governance and public trust.

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His message focuses on hope and an assurance that his administration is committed to delivering the dividends of democracy despite the nation’s current economic hardship. He urged Nigerians to ignore distractions and focus on the path to prosperity. However, critics and supporters within the LP and ADC have interpreted this message differently, reflecting ideological and strategic divisions in the country’s political system. Key figures in the Labour Party offered a cautiously optimistic perspective, recognising the difficulties of the present economic reforms while calling for a balanced approach to opposition politics.

Various opposition leaders share their views on his speech.

Commenting on the speech, the National Secretary of the LP emphasised the importance of giving Tinubu the benefit of the doubt, noting that even in opposition, the party’s role should include promoting hope for a better Nigeria rather than predicting otherwise. He echoed this sentiment but raised concerns about systemic issues undermining the nation’s progress. He pointed to the Erosion of institutional confidence as a barrier to reform, warning that economic recovery may remain elusive unless these foundational issues are addressed.

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Meanwhile, the African Democratic Congress’s National Chairman presented a far more critical assessment of Tinubu’s economic policies and their prospects for success. Drawing on historical and global examples, he argued that meaningful recovery from major economic reforms typically requires at least six years, and he expressed doubt about the government’s ability to lay the necessary foundations for sustainable growth. This critique underscores the concern about the effectiveness of the current administration in translating policy into tangible results, particularly given the widespread discontent over issues such as fuel subsidy removal.

Broader implications for governance and public trust.

On the other hand, this stance highlights the tension between policy promises and practical realities. From the austerity measures of the 1980s to the structural adjustment programs of the 1990s, successive administrations have struggled to balance economic reform with public welfare, often facing backlash for perceived insensitivity to the plight of ordinary Nigerians. Tinubu’s administration, with its ambitious reform agenda, appears to be navigating similar limitations, with opposition figures questioning the coherence and efficacy of its strategies.

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These divergent reactions underscore the governance challenges in a polarised political environment. While some opposition figures acknowledge the need for patience and collective effort, others doubt the administration’s ability to deliver on its promises. However, his appeal for long-term prosperity resonates with the past administrations facing economic crises. However, the effectiveness of such appeals often depends on the government’s ability to demonstrate tangible progress. For many, these promises may not seen seriously without visible improvements in living conditions and a clear roadmap for achieving economic stability.

Related Article: Mixed reactions to Tinubu’s New Year speech

From the early years of independence to today, successive administrations have struggled with the challenges of economic reform and public trust. For example, the Structural Adjustment Program (SAP) of the 1980s introduced economic changes but faced widespread public resistance due to its impact on living standards. Similarly, the current administration reforms, including removing fuel subsidies, have raised hope and scepticism, reflecting a familiar pattern in the nation’s governance. Strategically, Tinubu’s administration faces a delicate balancing act. On the one hand, it must pursue bold reforms to address structural economic issues and lay the groundwork for long-term growth.

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