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GDP per capita to reach $1,120 in 5yrs–IMF

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By Abraham Adekunle

Despite challenges, steady growth predicted, but inflation remains a concern.

Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita is expected to reach $1,120.67 by 2029. This is according to a prediction by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This forecast is based on an analysis of Nigeria’s GDP per capita data since 2014. The analysis shows a fluctuating trend. The country’s GDP per capita has been affected by various economic challenges, including the COVID-19 pandemic, which has led to a major decline in 2020 and 2021.

However, the IMF expects a steady increase in Nigeria’s GDP per capita from 2022 to 2029, with a growth rate of 3.5 percent predicted for 2029. This growth is expected to be driven by various factors, including investments in Infrastructure and human capital. The government’s efforts to diversify the Economy, improve the business environment, and increase access to Education and healthcare are also expected to contribute to the growth. It is important to note that Nigeria’s GDP per capita is still relatively low compared to other countries.

Income per capita has been affected by inflation.

According to The World Bank, Nigeria’s GDP per capita was $2,040 in 2020, ranking 137th out of 196 countries. The country’s per capita income has been affected by various factors, including population growth, Inflation, and economic instability. Nigeria’s population is growing at a rapid rate, with an estimated 202 million people in 2020. This growth rate is expected to continue, with the population projected to reach 443 million by 2050. The rapid population growth has put pressure on the country’s resources, infrastructure, and economy.

Inflation is another major challenge facing Nigeria. The inflation rate has been high in recent years, driven by factors such as the removal of fuel Subsidies, Devaluation of the Naira, and supply chain disruptions. The inflation rate rose to 33.69 percent in April 2024, eroding the purchasing power of consumers. Despite the expected growth in GDP per capita, Nigeria still faces significant economic challenges. The country’s economy is heavily reliant on oil exports, which makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in global oil prices. The government is working to diversify the economy, but progress has been slow.

Reforms that govt must invest in to address the issue.

Meanwhile, the National Bureau of Statistics recently reported that Nigeria’s GDP grew by 2.98 percent and 3.46 percent in real terms in the first quarter of 2024 and Q4 2023, respectively. However, the growth has not translated to improved living standards for many Nigerians, as the inflation rate has eroded the purchasing power of consumers. The IMF’s prediction of a steady increase in Nigeria’s GDP per capita is a positive development, but the country still faces significant economic challenges that need to be addressed to ensure sustainable Economic Growth and improved living standards for its citizens. The government must continue to implement reforms to improve the business environment, increase access to education and healthcare, and address the high inflation rate.

Investing in human capital is critical to Nigeria’s economic growth and development. The government must prioritize education and healthcare to ensure that the workforce is equipped with the skills needed to drive economic growth. Investing in infrastructure, such as roads, ports, and energy, is also critical to improving the business environment and increasing economic growth. Nigeria’s economic growth must be inclusive to ensure that all citizens benefit from the growth. The government must implement policies to reduce Poverty and inequality, such as social safety nets and programs to support small and medium-sized enterprises.

Related Article: FG commits 0.5 percent of GDP to R&D

So far, Nigeria’s GDP per capita is expected to reach $1,120.67 by 2029, according to the IMF’s prediction. While this is a positive development, the country still faces significant economic challenges that need to be addressed to ensure sustainable economic growth and improved living standards for its citizens. The government must continue to implement reforms to improve the business environment, increase access to education and healthcare, and address the high inflation rate. Investing in human capital and infrastructure is critical to Nigeria’s economic growth and development.


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