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Climate plans fall short of global targets

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By Usman Oladimeji

Reports show that the world is not on track to achieve its climate commitments.

A recent UN Climate Change report has called for more immediate stronger national climate plans as present initiatives “fall short” of attaining crucial global emission reduction targets. It highlighted that the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), which represent all the current national climate plans, are not up to the lofty goals required to keep global warming below the Paris Agreement’s crucial 1.5°C increase over pre-industrial levels. Considering the fact that most NDCs rely on incremental emission reductions rather than rapid changes in key sectors like energy, transportation, and agriculture, they lack the strong emission reduction promises necessary to make this goal a reality.

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The primary issues lie in the climate plans’ slow implementation, insufficient financing for Sustainable Energy transitions, and lackluster ambition. Fossil fuels continue to be a major source of energy for many nations, and Emissions from sectors including building, agriculture, and transportation are increasing. The adoption of Renewable Energy has advanced, but not rapidly enough to offset the rise in emissions. To meet the goals, scientists estimate that the present pace of emission reductions, which is about 1% annually, must significantly increase to about 7-8% annually.

Developing nations are emphasizing on climate justice.

High-emitting nations are the main cause of the disparity as their commitments frequently rely on postponed objectives and lack detailed strategies to phase out fossil fuels. Although some countries have established net-zero targets, they might not completely address short-term emissions, which would result in an increase in cumulative Greenhouse gas emissions. The 2023 Global Stocktake, a thorough evaluation carried out in accordance with the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), revealed that the world is not on track to achieve its climate commitments, especially those set forth in the Paris Agreement.

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Understanding the urgency, the international community is working to push nations to strengthen their climate pledges implementation. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the UNFCCC have repeatedly emphasized that in order to achieve the 1.5°C objective, emissions must peak before 2025 and then nearly halve by 2030. UN Secretary-General António Guterres stressed that “time is running out” at the recent UN Climate Summit and urged nations to expedite their plans. Additionally, climate justice is becoming more and more important. Developing nations are demanding more substantial financial and technological assistance because they bear the brunt of climate change’s effects despite making the least contribution to it.

Wealthy nations urged to up their contributions.

While the establishment of the “Loss and Damage” fund at COP27 in 2022 is a first step in meeting these needs, there are still lingering questions on the fund. Many developing nations are calling on wealthier countries, which have historically produced the majority of emissions, to take the lead with greater resolve by establishing more stringent goals and increasing their contributions to global climate finance. Moreover, developed nations are yet to completely fulfill their 2009 pledge to invest $100 billion annually in climate funding. This deficiency makes it more difficult for vulnerable nations to create low-carbon economies and adjust to the effects of climate change.

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There is increasing pressure on nations to review and reinforce their climate promises as the next United Nations climate conference (COP29) draws near, highlighting the fact that there is not much time left to take significant action to mitigate the worst effects of climate change. To scale up their climate commitments, the UN Climate Change, in collaboration with other UN agencies, is providing specific support to help overcome the significant barriers that many developing and vulnerable nations confront. Also, the UN Climate Change has announced a series of events scheduled for 2025, with details to be revealed at COP29, to engage global audiences in the delivery of countries’ NDCs and reaffirm support for them.

Related Article: APRI urges climate focus in Nigeria’s economy

COP29, which will bring world leaders together in Baku, Azerbaijan, in November, is anticipated to build on the commitments made at COP28 and pave the way for more rapid and tangible progress toward the objectives outlined in the Paris Agreement. By bolstering NDCs, expanding renewable energy, improving climate finance, and promoting international collaboration, countries can bridge the gap. Nevertheless, doing so calls for both quick and long-term action, along with a dedication to equity and climate justice for the most vulnerable people on the planet. As time runs out, the next several years will be crucial in defining the course of our planet’s climate and, eventually, the future of civilization.

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